Analysis of the 2016 PQBFL Draft

 

WaxOnWaxOff
WaxMini
WaxOnWaxOff carries forward the best saved team into 2016 which means Wax should compete for the PQBFL championship as in most years.  Wax's saved team was so good that the GM could not find a spot to save Latavius Murray but was able to get a draft pick upgrade for Murray with a pre-draft trade. 
Best Pick: Todd Gurley.  Well it's easy to say that the first pick overall in the draft is a good player.  But in this case, Wax had to trade for a franchise player before the draft because of a lack of decent options in-house, so drafting a young top RB who has potential to be a franchise player for years to come was a good move to make.
Worst Pick: Jordan Reed.  The 23rd pick overall was quite a reach for an injury-prone TE who has never established himself as a long-time top performer particularly with Greg Olsen still available at that time.  Wax might have felt in a bind with this pick because the team had traded away the 30th pick overall so they were not drafting again until the 37th overall and feared there would not be a quality TE left on the board. 
Strength:  Depth.  Wax has the strongest backups in the PQBFL and the deepest team in the league.  It would take a lot of injuries to derail this team. 
Weakness: Individual defensive players.  Wax did not draft a defensive player in the top 100 picks of the draft and it shows.  CJ Mosley was acquired for the 47th pick overall so one could argue it was like drafting a LB, but apart from Mosley, Wax is relying on his saved team which is ok but does not have above average starters. 


BeaudoinBrothers
BeaudMini
The BeaudoinBrothers are reeling from their stinging loss of the PQBFL championship by the tiebreaker in 2015 and after years of drafting to "win now", the team's saved team is quite poor in 2016.  Now with an aging squad on the decline, the Bros decided to draft with an emphasis on 2017 to rebuild for the future. 
Best Pick: Deshaun Watson.  Considering that the BeaudoinBrothers are targeting to be competitive in 2017, D Watson was a perfect fit.  He will possibly be the NFL's first pick overall and automatic starting rookie QB next year, so a 7th round pick this year was good value for Beaud.
Worst Pick: DeAndre Hopkins.  Taken 10th overall might have been too much to pay.  The Texans have a new QB and drafted a WR in the first round so it is unclear if Hopkins will continue to have the lion's share of targets in 2016 so he carries a lot of risk.  AJ Green would have been a safer option particularly with the Bengals' loss of WRs during the offseason and the stability at QB.
Strength:  Defense.  The Bros will be a defensive powerhouse with the best 2 LBs in the league Kuechly + Lavonte David, the best DB Reshad Jones, and the Broncos. 
Weakness: 2nd RB.  The BeaudoinBrothers have a lot of depth behind starter David Johnson with 5 potential starter level RBs (A Foster, L Murray, J Stew, A Abdullah, Gio Bernard), but it feels like throwing a lot of stuff at the wall and hoping something will stick.  None of them are currently top 14 RBs.



Admirals

This year will be Adm's 4th year in the PQBFL but 2016 is shaping up to be not much better than an expansion team based on preseason projections.  Adm avoided last place in 2013, then nicely progressed to 5th out of 8 in 2014, but regressed to last place in 2015.  It is questionable whether Adm will rebound.
Best Pick: Greg Olsen.  This was good value in the 4th round and there was a huge drop off after Olsen: subsequent TEs drafted were Gates, Fleener, and Ebron.
Worst Pick: Jamaal Charles.  The quality of Adm's franchise player Dez Bryant is questionable so why not draft a player with potential for franchise 2017 with the 3rd pick overall?  An old RB who just busted his knee and who won't even play week #1 is probably not the answer.
Strength:  Team Defense.  The Cards+Patriots is the top team defense duo in the PQBFL based on preseason projections.  Adm will be able to play both of them nicely based on matchups.
Weakness: RB depth.  Starters Charles + D Freeman better be healthy, because backups are not even starting RBs on their NFL team except for R Jennings and even Jennings has quite a bit of competition in New York.  Everybody else is a backup, heck Adm even drafted a RB who got cut and resigned (J Forsett).



FlyingElvis
FEMini
FE was headed towards having an average saved team, with saved players being 'blah' and 'meh', offset by a top notch franchise player Gurley.  However FE made the unfathomable bonehead move to change his franchise player at the last minute for Adrian Peterson.  What was that?
Best Pick: Khalil Mack.  If JJ Watt is not completely healthy, Mack could be the top DL in the PQBFL by a wide margin.
Worst Pick: Tyrod Taylor.  This guy is going to have to make a massive upward leap in performance to justify a 6th round pick.  Bortles (Adm) and C Palmer (Wax) were taken in the 8th and 11th rounds and were much better value.
Strength:  Rookie.  With all the uncertainty about which rookie QB will start and who will be benched, E Elliott was by far the top rookie to draft.  FE was the only team to only draft 2 rookies and waited quite a bit before drafting a 2nd rookie because FE intends to start Elliott every week, maybe even during his bye week!
Weakness: RBs.  Adrian Peterson is an average RB1 for a 7-team league, and others are unestablished or NFL backups (R Mathews, M Gordon, D Woodhead, L Blount).  This 5 RB squad is the weakest of the PQBFL.




Decepticons
DecMini
The defending champs are well positioned to repeat in 2016 thanks to the highest projections for starters.  However those projections assume that either Jared Goff or Paxton Lynch are starting, which is not the case heading to week #1.  Dec backups are also decent across the board and will provide a cushion should the injury bug hit this season. 
Best Pick: Deion Jones.  With two rookie QBs who might not play soon, having a reliable source of scoring from a rookie was valuable for Dec.  D Jones was the best defensive rookie available and a 7th round pick was an acceptable price to pay.
Worst Pick: Corey Graham.  With Reshad Jones taken 38th overall, Corey Graham being taken 41st overall was not a good deal.  Malcolm Jenkins (Bas) is not so much worse than Graham and was available with the 75th overall pick.
Strength:  Overall team balance.  There is not a single spot where Dec is projected to be below average (5th, 6th, or 7th out of 7).  Dec has quality starters everywhere.
Weakness: RBs.  This group might end up fine, but they are definitely not strong at first glance and several of them are question marks.  Lamar Miller is on a new team so there is a risk.  Rawls is injured and backup Christine Michael is having a nice preseason.  DeMarco Murray is also on a new team and in addition the Titans drafted a rookie RB.  Gore is old.  Finally, DeAngelo Williams will only be a starter for a few weeks until L Bell is back from his suspension.



OldNo7
OldMini
OldNo7 had one of the best saved teams in the PQBFL which was further boosted by trading away Antonio Brown before the draft in return for a 5th round pick.  The preseason projections have OldNo7 near or at the top for both starters and key backups, particularly if we discount Dec's projections a bit for the uncertainty of a rookie QB starting or not. 
Best Pick: Carson Wentz.  At the time of the draft, Wentz was 3rd on the Eagles depth chart behind Bradford and Chase Daniel.  OldNo7 took Wentz as the 2nd rookie long after E Elliott was taken, and triggered a run at the rookie position with several ones taken after Wentz.  It seemed foolish to draft Wentz before Paxton Lynch, but right now OldNo7 is in the driver seat with Wentz the week #1 starting QB for the Eagles.
Worst Pick: Jeremy Langford.  Old drafted a RB in the 2nd and 3rd round, plus Old saved Forte and Yeldon.  There was no need to go after a 5th RB as early as the 6th round, if even if it had been necessary, there were better options available.  Langford was dead last in yards after contact in the NFL last year, he drops several passes so the Bears won't be able to use him like Forte, he has competition from a rookie RB, and the Bears will be behind in many games and have to throw not run.
Strength:  Backup WRs.  Amari Cooper and Randall Cobb are the best backup WR duo of the PQBFL.  If starter Keenan Allen injury issues resurface, OldNo7 will not miss a beat.
Weakness: DL+LB.  OldNo7 is fine at DB, but the rest of the defense is questionable particularly DL with Oliver Vernon, Stephon Tuitt, and Leonard Williams.  Those are a bunch of guys who might not even make the roster of any other PQBFL team and should not have been saved or drafted at all. 



GloriousBastards
BasMini
The GloriousBastards did a decent job of drafting and assembling an appropriate team for an expansion team.  The projections do not have the team miles behind others and with a few favorable surprises, they might be able to have a decent year.  The team is generally young and have good potential for saved players in 2017.
Best Pick: Andrew Luck.  Luck had an off year in 2015 but part of it was injury and part of it was poor offensive line play.  He might return to his 2014 form this year and be an excellent candidate for a prime franchise player for years to come. 
Worst Pick: Navorro Bowman.  First off, Bowman is by far Bas' best defensive player so unless things change, he will get cut and will not help Bas' saved team next year.  It was therefore a bit early to go with a defensive player in the 4th round if Bas wanted to focus on building for the future.  In addition, Bowman is a notch below Lavonte David but was only taken 5 picks later which was not enough of a discount.  No other LB was taken between the 29th overall pick (Bowman) and the 55th overall pick (J Collins, 8th round) which might be a sign that Bas paid too much for Bowman with no payoff for 2017.
Strength:  If an expansion team has a strength, it is because the team neglected other positions.  In this case let's say the area where Bas is in the best shape (rather than calling it a strength) is backup RBs Duke Johnson and Matt Jones.  Not only are they quality backups for 2016 with upside if they perform better than planned, but they are also both young and promising for 2017.
Weakness: Rookies.  Not a bad spot to be weak for an expansion team because those players generally lose value the following year, but the Bastards could have drafted better rookies anyway.  Josh Doctson is injured and only WR3 on his team.  Someone like Kevin White (Wax) would have been better and was taken 3 rounds later.  Myles Jack will be a dominant player, but his PQBFL stats might not show it because of the scoring system.  An 8th round pick for M Jack was too much and M Jack will not be worth much in 2017 once he's no longer a rookie. 

 

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