Week
#16
The GloriousBastards were trailing the Bros by 6 rank-points with
two weeks to go and this week they cut that lead in half by beating
Beaud by 3. If Bas can replicate the same next week and if
they win the tie-breaker, Bas would end up champions after a season
filled with ups and downs. Even this week was not easy as only
17 pts separated first place Bas (157 pts) and 7th place Wax (140
pts) so if Bas had one or two slip-ups the result would have been
quite different. Several players delivered this week including
DB Tyler Nubin scoring a much needed and unexpected TD for 16 pts,
and DL Kobie Turner filling in nicely for injured Quinnen Williams
with 15.5 pts. On offense Bijan was the leader with 22.75 pts
and rookie Ward was also impressive in the dismantling of the Chiefs
with 18.25 pts. Bas could have crushed everybody if they had
started Purdy (34.25 pts) instead of Nix (12.5 pts). It will
be interesting what the coach decides for the season finale because
Purdy will face a much tougher test against the Bears defense which
is the defense with the most takeaways in the NFL.
FlyingElvis came close to winning but unfortunately had 3/3 DBs
injured which was a critical difference and fell short of Bas by 2.5
pts which almost any DB would be able to score. FE remains
theoretically in the race but would need a mini-miracle: FE must
finish week #17 first, hope that Beaud finishes last, and Old + Bas
must finish no higher than 6th and 7th. That’s quite a tall
order which is extremely unlikely to happen. The most
realistic scenario would be for either Bas or Old to stumble and FE
to finish quite high and grab third place from either of them.
This week FE was propelled by rookie Jeanty who scored two long TDs
for 34.75 pts to move up to 6th best rookie. His average of
11.3 pts per game puts him at RB16, not really worth franchise
player, but good enough to be cut next year. FE missed D Adams
who was injured but Diggs did better than Adams’ season average with
15.75 pts. D London came back from injury but he was not his
normal self with only 4.25 pts. On defense despite not having
a DB, FE was quite solid with scores ranging from 12 pts to 16 pts
from J Simmons, Wagner, and Cashman.
OldNo7 was on the ropes before MNF but franchise player CMC
delivered in prime time with 2 TDs for 24.5 pts to edge Beaud by
1.75 pts and cut their lead in the standings from 4 to 3 rank-points
rather than fall behind. Old still has work to do to steal the
crown especially with star Amon-Ra being gimpy and playing on
Thursday so he would have to play with limited rest. This week
St.Brown only scored 6.5 pts, he was the only core position player
to score less than 17.75 pts because everybody else had a good game,
from Chase Brown’s three TDs to Caleb’s overtime comeback with a
score of 24.25 pts. JSN also benefited from overtime and
scored a TD for the win so those extra minutes benefited Old twice
this week. On defense, Old welcomed back Justin Reid to health
and he was fine, providing 10.5 pts which is in contrast with week
15 where Old had no active DB. Old could have finished higher
than 3rd this week if rookie T Henderson did not get injured early
in the game and exited after scoring only one point.
The BeaudoinBrothers finished in the middle of a tight pack from 1st
to 7th place with 4th place, but lost to both Old and Bas so their
lead in first place is looking more shaky. The Bros need to
finish 4th place in week 17 and hold on to the tiebreaker and they
will be champions (ie avoid being crushed by a large margin by
Old/Bas who might finish first), or finish 3rd to be guaranteed of
the title no matter what the result would be from other teams.
Similar to other teams it might not be straightforward due to
numerous roster issues, for example Zay Flowers scored 15 pts this
week but he hardly caught any balls once Lamar Jackson went out to
injury so it’s unclear what the status will be in week #17.
Also rookie McCarthy was injured in the first half and left after
scoring only 5.5 pts, arguably if he was still in the game in the
second half, Beaud would have beat Old. McCarthy might not
play in week 17. But clouds are not entirely dark because if T
Henderson (Old) misses week 17 to injury, then R Stevenson will be a
big beneficiary against the porous Jets defense so Beaud might have
a better outlook at the RB position for the final week, which has
been a problem most of the year. This week J Burrow was the
top scorer with 31.75 pts but if Beaud had started Stafford as they
normally do, Beaud would have tied Old to steal half a rank-point
which could be critical considering how tight the standings are.
The Admirals partially bounced back from last place in week 15 to
5th place this week but did not play trouble makers – they could not
beat any of the top 4 teams in the standings. Adm has a shot
of beating Prof because now they only trail by 2 so a mid standings
finish is still possible. This week Adm was competitive due to
defense with a total of 62 pts from the Texans plus the four
individual defenders, none of which scored less than 9 pts.
Offense was far more of a mixed bag, RJ Harvey did well with 19 pts
to climb to ROO11 in the league, but the rest of the starters were
disappointing particularly Josh Allen only scoring 5.75 pts against
the Browns. His lead as the top QB in the league is now down
to only 0.3 pts per game in front of Stafford (Beaud).
The Ballers finished in the middle three spots for the third
straight week which is their longest stretch of avoiding the
red. It was accomplished despite a dreadful score of 3.75 pts
from L-Jax who got injured. Nacua had a monster game in the
absence of D Adams with 36.25 pts. J Cook was not bad himself
with 26.25 pts. On defense the Vikings were air-tight against
the Giants by allowing only two FGs and no TD. Ball were
mostly slowed down by poor scores from Hockenson (1 pt) and Brian
Thomas (2.75 pts) who has been a huge disappointment and still is,
despite the Jaguars’ offense finding a spark recently.
WaxOnWaxOff finished 7th despite scoring 140 pts which was the first
time of the season that 140 pts was not enough for at least 6th
place. Wax beat Dec by 2 but still trails by 6 rank points
which is unlikely to be overcome in the final week so it looks like
Wax will end the season in a disappointing 8th place after winning
the league in 2024. This week Wax was sunk almost single
handedly by rookie Dart who stunk beyond belief: 7 completions for
33 yards in a game where the Giants were trailing and had to throw
the ball. Dart will probably finish the season as best rookie
nonetheless but he was definitely a let down this week. Most
of the production of the week came from Kittle on MNF with 18.75 pts
but it was too little too late. The top score went to Maye
with 26 pts in a comeback win against the Ravens on SNF.
ProfMJ was still in the race a few weeks ago but it’s been a slow
descent since week 13 (first place) followed by 3rd place, 6th
place, and this week 8th place. Prof lost 4th place in the
standings to red-hot FE and now Prof trails by 4 so it will require
a turnaround for Prof to finish in the top half. This week the
problems on offense were numerous with all core position players
RB-RB-WR-WR-TE underperformed related to projections and none of
them scored more than 8.5 pts. TE Kincaid was the worst of the
lot with a goose egg. Even some regular stars on defense had
some struggles for example M Garrett only scored 3 pts while he had
previously been on a tear with an average of 17 pts per game from
weeks 11-15.
A few weeks ago Dec was in first place with a 5-rank point lead over
anybody else after 10 weeks but with injuries mounting, it was
predicted that Dec would not keep up. The downfall has been
swifter than anticipated. Since then, Dec has finished in the
red 5 times out of 6 and the best result was no better than 5th
place. So Dec has fallen from first to 7th in the standings –
quite a drastic change. This week, a rough result was
anticipated because Dec only drafted 2 QBs, Mahomes is now out for
the year and Tua Tago has been benched so Dec scored a zero at the
highest scoring position. Another GM miscue was to only draft
one kicker and Matt Gay has been cut by so that was another
avoidable goose egg. M Harrison played this week but he’s
still affected by an injury and he only scored 1.5 pt. Dec has
been hit hard by injuries at the rookie position. O Hampton
recently came back to health but he’s no longer a rookie after
having been elevated to RB where Dec does not need another RB,
having J Taylor (RB1) and Achane (RB4) which is the best RB duo in
the PQBFL. So another GM fiasco resulted in the only active
rookie being kicker T Loop who scored a modest 5 pts, slightly below
his average of 6.7 pts. As ROO16 he should simply be a
bye-week filler, not a starter.
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