Week #1

WaxOnWaxOff began 2025 with a splash by scoring 185.25 pts and beating all other teams by more than 30+ pts so it was not even close, showing they are dead serious about repeating with another PQBFL title.  It’s not every week that Wax’s Bucs players will turn 3 TDs into 6, like this week when all 3 of Mayfield’s TDs were passes to B Irving or rookie Egbuka.  But nonetheless Wax would have won easily so it did not matter.  Wax also played rock solid defense with everybody scoring at least 11 pts even the Broncos defense scoring 16 pts against the toothless Titans.  There is now a little bit of a dark cloud however with TE Kittle getting injured after starting hot with 10.25 pts.  Backup Jonnu Smith did even better with 10.75 pts but such production will be hard to keep up.

The BeaudoinBrothers had some hiccups in week #1 including Burrow only scoring 9 pts, and the Bros were trending to finish 4th before the start of MNF.  Both Prof and Bas were ahead of Beaud before MFN and since Prof-Bas were so close to each other, Beaud could only finish 2nd or 4th and could not sneak in between.  Rookie McCarthy had a dreadful start including a pick-6 but came back roaring in his NFL debut with a 3-TD performance in the 4th quarter to finish the game with 25.25 pts, the best score of any rookie this week ahead of Egbuka (Wax).  Also notable was the 30-point effort by old man King Henry who showed he’s still worth franchise status but he fumbled late in the game and caused his team to lose so it was not all glory.

ProfMJ edged Bas by the slimmest of margins 147.25 to 147 to secure 3rd place.  Things started on the right foot on Friday with Ju Herbert dominating the Chiefs with 31.5 pts and he celebrated the return of K Allen plus the continued growth of McConkey and Johnston.  This could be a dangerous offense all year.  Prof also had bright spots on defense such as Julian Love’s 18 pts which was the best defensive score of any position, followed not far behind by M Garrett’s 16 pts.  However the biggest problem this week was exactly the same as mentioned in the draft analysis: rookies.  All 4 of Prof’s rookies combined for a grand total of ONE point this week, three of them scoring a goose egg including this week’s starter Tory Horton who had one punt return and a fair catch, nothing else.  Not even a target as a WR, let alone a catch.

The GloriousBastards are supposed to be among the 2025 favorites based on preseason projections but disappointed mildly in week #1 with 4th place.  There were two big underperformers that stood out.  First, how in the world could J Chase only score 3.25 pts against the Browns?  In all of 2024, he scored 8.5 pts 16/17 weeks.  To add to Bas’ woes, as is often the case, rookie QBs can bomb out especially if playing a tough defense.  Cam Ward was the perfect example with only 112 passing yards, no rushing yards, and one fumble lost.  This could have been foreseen against the Broncos but Bas does not have other rookies worth starting at least not yet because Judkins was not in uniform.  The other rookie Tuten was only third string RB for the Jaguars so it would not have made sense to start him but he still outscored Ward 1.0 to 0.5 was which was the difference with Prof who beat Bas by 0.25.

The Ballers took 5th place and edged Dec, Adm, and FE in the tight pack of teams from 5th to 8th place this week.  Ball had 4 starters on MNF and all of them underperformed relative to their projections but did barely enough to hold on to 5th place.  The Vikings defense was the best of the four with 8 pts while Loveland (2.5 pts), Swift (6.5 pts), and Hockenson (3.75 pts) were all a let down.  Ball was able to finish in the middle mostly because of L-Jax who outscored all players in the PQBFL but one (Josh Allen) with 33.75 pts.  In that same game, Cook’s 15 pts helped to some extent as well.  Nacua’s 16.5 pts was a positive as well and the calls for D Adams to cut into his workload appear to have been exaggerated. 

The Decepticons finished less than one point behind Ball but beat Adm by 0.25 pt so cannot complain too much of being unlucky.  Mahomes was the only starter to significantly exceed his projection with 28.5 pts and the majority of the others on offense were mostly in line except perhaps Tyreek Hill who sucked like the rest of the Dolphins with only 6 pts.  However the good news is that there are rumors he is being shopped around to KC which would help his situation.  The rookie position was also a problem for Dec who drafted quantity over quantity.  Starter Hampton only scored 6 pts and backups Skattebo + Burden +Mason Taylor + Milroe combined for a paltry 3.75 pts on the bench so none of them could have helped.  Ironically the best rookie of the week out of all 6 on Dec’s roster was none other than a freakin rookie kicker Tyler Loop who scored 10 pts.

The Admirals started 2025 in the red with 7th place with 123.5 pts which was below their weekly projection.  Nobody can point the finger at Josh Allen who was lights out with 38 pts this week in a stellar effort to beat the Ravens.  But the skill position players RB+WRs combined for a laughable 12.25 pts for all four together, even star franchise player J Gibbs hardly did anything with 5 pts.  On defense the only good score was 16.5 pts from Nick Bosa while the other three individual defenders scored in a range of 5.5 to 7.5 pts so nothing to write home about and all below projections.

FlyingElvis finished near the bottom this week with a very disappointing 119.75 pts.  For such a low score, one would think that scanning FE’s roster it would be littered with bad news, but surprisingly it’s not the case.  Hurts did his standard thing with two rushing scores on the ground so the game plan has not changed from 2024 and he can be relied upon to continue being a top QB.  RB Etienne was a big surprise by pushing Bigsby aside so much with 156 yards from scrimmage that Bigsby even got traded away after the game, paving the way for Etienne for the rest of the season.  He now has the looks of a blue chip starting RB which are hard to come by.  Josh Jacobs was solid against the tough Lions defense and scored a TD.  The Ravens defense was poor with a negative score but the blame can be put on the coach who should have started the Seahawks instead who had 9.5 pts on the bench.  This call alone was worth 3 spots in the standings this week and one can optimistically assume that this is a one-off mistake not to be repeated going forward.  Rookie Jeanty was heavily involved in the game but mostly held in check with 9 pts, it does not take a big leap of faith to expect a greener outlook in the next few weeks based on usage alone.

Similar to FE, Old had a poor result this week but there are reasons to not be very pessimistic.  All 4 of Old’s QBs finished in the top half of the 28 drafted QBs in the PQBFL, the worst of the lot being Geno Smith with 17 pts which is not bad at all and in fact better than what his projection was.  The best news was about the injury concerns around CMC evaporating following his heavy involvement in the game with a total of 142 yds from scrimmage.  He did not score, but that will come sooner rather than later.  Smith-Njigba saw no negative impact of the arrival of Cooper Kupp and a new QB throwing him the rock, if anything that might all be a positive.  JSN accounted for 13/22 targets from Darnold and 124 out of 150 passing yards so almost nobody but him caught anything during the game.  Old will need better production from rookie T Henderson who was limited to 5 pts and played fewer snaps than his teammate R Stevenson (Beaud).  However Henderson was the more productive of the two so it’s realistic to project an increase in workload for the rookie.





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