Analysis of the 2013 PQBFL Draft

 

WaxOnWaxOff
WaxMini
Wax entered the draft with an amazing saved team, powered by franchise player A Rodgers but also a top WR like Julio Jones.  Then Wax ripped off Spi in a pre-draft trade to acquire P Manning in return for next to nothing.  However Wax dropped the ball and failed to materialize Manning's value by refusing to trade him on draft day during the 3rd round.  So Wax has 2 high quality QBs on the roster instead of filling holes elsewhere.  
Best pick: L Fitzgerald.  With the arrival of C Palmer, the upside is great, and other choices at WR at that point of the draft where all a notch below.  
Worst pick: M Lynch.  There is no doubt Lynch will provide points, but passing on L McCoy is a mistake Wax will regreat.  
Strength: Depth on offense.  Wax has obviously by far the best backup QB, but also WR Victor Cruz who could be a starter on most other PQBFL teams.  WR depth is great for Wax including potential 2014 stars Antonio Brown, Justin Blackmon, and Chris Givens who should bolster Wax's 2014 saved team.  
Weakness: Depth on defense.  After starters Kuechly, Woodyard, Burnett, and Jared Allen, the best backup for defensive flex leaves to be desired especially since Wax only drafted 3 LBs.  


FlyingElvis
FEMini
FE hopes to bounce back from the post 2011 championship year hangover with a disappointing 5th place in 2012.  FE benefits from an above average saved team, but franchise player Brady is getting stale and is no longer franchise player material.  We would have liked FE to draft a potential long-term franchise player in the first round, but the team instead decided to go with the declining Arian Foster who similar to Brady is not getting better with age.  FE wants to win now and has not focused much on 2014.  
Best pick: Dez Bryant.  FE elected to balance his team after QB and RB were filled by the franchise and 1st round picks and went with youth at WR.  Dez's ceiling is very high.  
Worst pick: Arian Foster.  His YPC is falling like a rock and the only reason his production has not declined is the huge number of carries he got last year.  Injuries are starting to catch up with Foster, and Tate is healthy.  The much safer Jamaal Charles should have been the pick here.  
Strength: WR backups.  V Jax and Torrey Smith are on the bench in case Dez or Roddy White let FE down.  
Weakness: Not a lot of glaring weaknesses on this team which is average pretty much across the board, but one would have to say the RB position in general looks shaky.  If Foster misses time, it is not clear who will assume leadership among D Murray, Sproles, and Andre Brown.  The latter is already injured, and Sproles has capped upside due to his style.  



OldNo7
OldMini
After coming close to 2nd-3rd place in 2011, Old went back to the PQBFL doldrums in 2012.  However Old brings a decent saved team with guys like Stafford, Ridley, Re Bush, V Davis, Nicks, and Tillman.  This has to be one of Old's best saved teams ever, benefiting from a few offseason NFL moves particularly Reggie Bush going to Detroit.  Franchise player Spiller could be great but carries a lot of risk too because he's not built to be an every down back.  
Best pick: L McCoy.  The new offense by the ex-coach of Oregon will greatly benefit McCoy and there was a huge drop off in RB talent after McCoy.  Old brings McCoy back to the team after being the franchise player last year.  
Worst pick: Cobb.  Old reached for the up and coming WR but Cobb would have been available later in the draft, especially since established veterans like A Johnson, R White, V Cruz, and V Jax were still available.  Old seems too quick to discard Jordy Nelson.  
Strength: RB depth.  Spiller and McCoy are both prime-cut starters, and Reggie Bush + Ridley make for great trade baits later in the season when other teams starting hurting at the position.  Nobody in the PQBFL has a better backup RB duo than Old.  
Weakness: WRs.  As mentioned above, Cobb should not be considered a WR1 yet, and after Nicks the backups are nothing to be impressed about: Garcon, M Floyd, Tate, Shorts.


BeaudoinBrothers
BeaudMini
The defending champions benefited from having the first round pick due to 2012 injuries and took maximum advantage by loading up with the best available player, or potential best player, at many positions.  Beaud has finished in the top 3 in every single PQBFL season in the 16-year history, and chances are good that 2013 will not be any different.  
Best pick: EJ Manuel.  How often do you find a starting rooking QB available in the 4th round?  If Manuel can accomplish half of what Newton (2011) and RGIII (2012) accomplished, Manuel will be near the top of rookie standings.    
Worst pick: Chris Johnson.  The BeaudoinBrothers panicked and needed a RB and drafted the best available one, after the wave of the first 9 that were drafted in the top 15 picks of the draft, not counting the three RBs which were franchised.  CJ has been declining for a few years.  
Strength: Defense.  JJ Watt is the most dominant defensive player in the NFL and the 49ers are a top defense.  Linebackers Posluszny and Bobby Wagner cement this unit.  
Weakness: QB depth.  Newton better not get injured, because Dalton/Roethlisberger would not even be backup QB on any PQBFL team except Adm.  

Spitoons
SpiMini
The Spitoons were in the hunt last year until crashing starting in week 14 but able to hold on to 3rd place.  Spi's saved team is subpar however, with guys like BJGE, useless Barkley, and worthless Malcom Floyd.  This is because Spi's bonehead trade of P Manning to Wax pre-draft which caused Reggie Wayne to be cut from Spi's team.  
Best pick: David Wilson.  This guy is lightning quick and it was limited by the presence of Bradshaw last year.  The Giants did the right thing and let Bradshaw go.  Wilson was awesome value late in the 3rd round especially after so many other RBs were taken.  
Worst pick: Jason Pierre-Paul.  Taking JPP just one pick after JJ Watt is by definition not getting good value.  JPP was taken before the 2nd LB was taken and he's not even healthy.  
Strength: QB depth.  Luck is the franchise player, and Romo is the best backup QB in the PQBFL other than stacked Wax.  
Weakness: Rookies.  Montee Ball is possibly the third RB on the Broncos team, Barkley won't play unless Vick gets injured, and Dion Jordan is a defensive lineman.  This squad will be a problem.  


JakesBlues
JBMini
Since winning the league in 2010, it's been downhill for JB with a 5th place in 2011 and last place in 2012.  By failing to submit a legal saved team, JB ends up with M Turner on the team (what is he up to these days?) and Aaron Hernandez also as a saved player.  Hernandez is the first killer to be on a PQBFL roster since the days of Ray Carruth.  If Hernandez gets injured in a jail fight, will he accrue injury points?
Best pick: Lamar Miller.  There was a huge dropoff after Miller and the rest of remaining RBs were scrubs.  JB correctly picked the last startable RB to provide good support to starting duo Forte-Rice.  
Worst pick: TY Hilton.  Who?  In the 7th round?  Ahead of Jordy Nelson, and JB's own Britt?  Hilton would have been available 10 rounds later.  
Strength: Rookie depth.  Starter Tavon Austin has the upside, and in case he does not do well, Teo will provide stable reliable stats.  The form a good combo.  
Weakness: WRs.  This is a crew of has-beens: Andre Johnson, D-Jax, Boldin.  The only potential bright spot is Britt who might surprise and has lots of upside.  


Decepticons
DecMini
Dec was only a middle of the pack team in 2012 but comes into 2013 as a legitimate contender.  Dec's saved team is very strong with McFadden, Vick, S Johnson, and Finley.  Franchise player Doug Martin might not be the best available RB in 2013 but he has as much long-term potential, if not more, than any other RB.  
Best pick: RGIII.  Sure he hurt his knee, but he is young and can recover fast.  Huge upside at a key position - he was great value in the 5th round after so many teams shied away from drafting a QB in the first few rounds because they already had one.  
Worst pick: Bears D.  Not that drafting a team defense in the 8th round is too early, but this defense is not the same as in 2012.  The Seahawks or 49ers were probably 1-2 on everybody's list but Dec.  
Strength: RBs.  Charles + D Martin is the best starting RB duo in the PQBFL, and F Gore still has juice left.  
Weakness: WR depth.  Dec needs Amendola to perform as a starter, and it's not clear whether he can stay healthy so backups matter.  S Johnson and M Wallace both play on terrible teams with question marks at QB.  





Admirals

Only a few years ago, Adm's GM knew nothing about the NFL.  The team joins the PQBFL this year and will try to do what nobody has been able to accomplish: assemble a winning team in season #1.  Odds are that it will not happen.  However, some teams have been able to quickly rise to stardom, for example JB won in the team's 3rd year, while FE finished 3rd in the team's second and third seasons.  JB and FE both finished last in their expansion year.  Another expansion team was Dec in 2006 who finished 4th, but that was after a one-year absence in 2005.  Dec won the league in 2003-2004 and was not a clueless team in 2006.  Prior to that, the Dugongs were also an expansion team in 2005 and did well with 4th place, but similar to Dec they had been in the PQBFL in the past.  
Best pick: T Bridgewater.  The perfect pick for an expansion team.  Bridgewater will not score as much as other college players in 2013, but has the best 2014 value because he'll be drafted towards the top of the NFL draft and could start somewhere next year.  
Worst pick: MJD.  Why spend a 3rd round pick on an aging RB?  If Adm wanted to compete this year, fine, but that is not a good pick to build on the future.  
Strength: None.  Well, as an expansion team it's hard to do well and Adm decided to draft a balanced team rather than load on one particular position.  The only area where Adm seems to be average or slightly above average is the WR crew.  Demaryius Thomas is a top notch WR, and combined with whoever will emerge among Bowe, Decker, Austin, or Mike Williams that will form a good starting duo.  
Weakness: Everything.  For a first draft, Adm actually surprised the author of this column, but honestly this team will have a rough going this year as any expansion team.  The most glaring hole is probably RB depth: Daryl Richardson will have competition for his job in STL, Ballard, and Helu are not starters on the NFL team, and none of them are particularly stellar investments for the future.  

 

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