Week #11


The BeaudoinBrothers beat Old by one spot to take sole possession of first place in the standings and might also own the tie-breaker because they scored almost 20 pts more in total than Old; normally beating a team by one spot is done by less than 20 pts.  The Bros were in control before MNF but got a minor scare when Hurts and Kelce started MNF badly in addition to Old’s players doing well in the first 30 minutes, but in the end the situation rectified itself when Hurts ran for 2 TDs in the second half to put Old away.  Nonetheless both Hurts and Kelce underperformed relative to projections and first place this week was rather thanks to unlikely heroes such as the Bills defense which had struggled from week #4-10 but playing the Jets was the perfect remedy.  The Bills scored 23 pts to lead the Bros on the scoreboard.  Also WR has not been a strength for Beaud but this week Aiyuk (20.75 pts) and D Adams (19 pts) got the job done and together almost matched the output from the Old star duo of WRs Ty Hill and Amon-Ra. 

OldNo7 had to settle for second but at least beat Prof by a healthy margin such that Old now has a firm grasp of second place at the very least and only needs to worry about one team, not two.  As mentioned above Old’s WRs did well with 41 pts combined and this week Levis was able to avoid turnovers and also scored 2 TDs in garbage time to end the game with 15.25 pts.  Defense was stout for Old with the Browns limiting the Steelers to 10 pts in a home win, and LBs Singleton + TJ Edwards were dominant with 31 pts combined.  Old was playing with an incomplete lineup again because college QB McCall has not returned from his concussion but Old finished far enough behind Beaud that it probably did not affect the outcome.  What Old needed to beat Beaud was a better game from Kmet among others, who only scored 4 pts in a game where the Bears were able to move the ball and scored 26 pts so Kmet not participating statistically was surprising.  Also Prescott was fine with 17.75 pts but it was below his projection and also not as stellar as his recent high level performance; it was his worst game since week #5.

The GloriousBastards finished in the top 3 for the second straight week and also beat FE by 4 ranks in both week 10-11 to completely eliminate the gap that was separating them from 4th place and are now tied with FE and own the tiebreaker.  GB surprisingly benched Ju Herbert who ranks QB3 in the league, and started Purdy instead.  It’s not that Herbert was playing a tough defense, in fact Herbert had a pretty good game on the bench with 28.5 pts but Purdy rewarded the coach by beating Herbert slightly with 30 pts to top all starters in Bas’ lineup for the week.  As it’s been the case on most weeks this season, the fortunes of Bas were tied to defense and this week was the same.  The Cowboys easily manhandled the Panthers and also scored a TD for 26 pts.  Dallas leads all other defenses in the PQBFL by 2.8 pts per game which is almost as good as McCaffrey (Old) who is 3.1 pts per game ahead of any other RB.  Equally dominating is college QB J Daniels who is also ahead of all others college players by the same margin as DAL (2.8 pts) and this week Daniels padded his lead with an eye-popping game of 8 TDs, over 400 yards passing and almost 100 yards rushing.  Holy cow. Even for college standards this is huge.  The reason Bas missed out on the top 2 this week was A Jones who got injured and exited early after scoring only 1.25 pts.

WaxOnWaxOff finished above average for the second straight week but remains far behind FE and far ahead of Dec in the standings so they are firmly stuck in 6th place.  Wax will be more likely to look over their shoulder in the standings because now Burrow is out for the year so that will further hurt Wax in 2023 and possibly won’t even help in 2024.  Wax is so far behind Adm in injury points that it’s unlikely Wax will finish on top: Adm leads by over 300 injury points (1528-1226) and the current earn rate of Adm is greater than Wax even if we add Burrow to the injury list.  The only positive of Burrow’s injury is that it might prevent Ball from catching up Wax in injury points so Wax should finish 2nd.  This week Burrow ended his 2023 season with a TD pass and then his wrist exploded without contact.  The biggest stars of the week were RBs with Barkley scoring 2 TDs to lead the Giants to a rare win and J Warren scored on a long TD; both Barkley and Warren reached 20 pts and were by far the best RB duo of the PQBFL this week (43.5 pts) scoring much more than the second most productive RB combo this week which was  Montgomery-Hall for Dec (24 pts).  On defense Okereke also reached the 20-point mark with lots of tackles + assists in addition to two forced fumbles. 

The Decepticons finished in the middle three for the fourth time in 5 weeks, finishing more than 20 pts behind Wax so a better result was not really close to happening.  It would have required a big game from Mahomes on MNF but once again he was lackluster with 15.75 pts which was materially below his weekly projection.  Mahomes only ranks QB9 which is a poor investment result for a franchise player considering that other QBs which were much cheaper at draft time, currently rank ahead of Mahomes such as Purdy (QB7, Bas) and Goff (QB8, Ball).  This is starting to feel like Mahomes’ final act as multi-year Dec franchise player and we might see him in a different uniform next year unless Dec drafts him again in the open market.  Besides Mahomes, the week’s top score for Dec was Hopkins with a garbage time TD for 14.75 pts, it was refreshing that for once Dec chose the correct WR to start with Lockett scoring 8.5 pts on the bench.  Rookie Achane made an anticipated return to the starting lineup after missing 4 games to injury (plus a bye week) but his return was a wet firecracker because he got injured again after only one carry and one reception and exited the game.

The Admirals finished out of the red for the second time in three weeks which is an accomplishment considering that Adm had far more injury points this week (194) than the second highest, the Ballers with 120.  RB Gibbs had another good game with 12.75 pts so he continues to perform despite the return to health of Montgomery (Dec) which is music to Adm GM’s ears.  There is no way D Henry can be a franchise player in 2024 as his downfall continued this week with only 3.5 pts against the Jaguars which is a team that he feasted on in previous year.  Not anymore.  Henry dropped from RB7 to RB9 in the league.  Could Adm franchise Chubb?  Maybe but there will be injury risk and Gibbs is much younger than Chubb.  Gibbs’ level of play since Montgomery returned has been impressive enough to warrant starting the franchise player discussion at this stage.  Another good news for Adm was that K Murray scored 19.75 pts so the rust is slowing coming off.  He is badly needed with Watson out for the year and Tannehill riding the pine.  The rest of Adm’s offense was a disaster particularly the receivers.  Higgins and M Williams are injured and Olave was on bye so that forced the KC WR zombies in the starting lineup: Skyy Moore and K Toney scored a combined 4.25 pts.  Those incompetent WRs rank 43-44 in the PQBFL out of 47 WRs, despite having Mahomes throwing the rock.  Nice.  Also all three of Adm’s TEs were injured so Adm had a goose egg at the position which surely cost 5th place because Dec was only 1.75 pt ahead this week.

FlyingElvis had their worst score of the season with 108.25 pts, finished 7th and saw their lead over Bas evaporate.  FE’s coach made the puzzling decision to bench the best QB in the league Josh Allen in favor of backup J Love (QB14 in the league).  Thankfully Love did not have a bad week with 22 pts but Allen beat him nonetheless with 27.25 pts.  Besides Kittle who scored 17.25 pts, the rest of FE’s offense was catastrophic by all accounts with 2.75 pts from Ekeler (1 fumble lost), G Wilson 0.25 pt (1 fumble lost), B Young 3.25 pts (2 turnovers), and finally Etienne + M Brown doing very little worth noting except that they did not turn the ball over unlike their teammates.  Even kicker R Patterson was below projections with only 3 pts.  FE was able to avoid finishing lower with 13 pts from TJ Watt and 11 pts from Wagner.  But the rest of the defense was not as good, for example A Donald only had one tackle and his final score was only helped by 3 QB hits.  He’s not the guy he used to be, being tied DL9-10 for the season so barely starter material.

ProfessorMJ was the only team who did not finish in the red from weeks #1-10 but that all changed in week #11 with a back-breaking 8th place while Beaud and Old took 1st and 2nd which put a huge dent in Prof’s chances for this year.  To make matters worse star TE M Andrews got injured by Beaud’s own LB Logan Wilson on a questionable tackle to sideline Andrews for the rest of the regular season, leaving Prof with only E Engram as the lone remaining healthy TE.  QB G Smith was also banged up and missed some time; Smith finished this week with a mediocre 12.75 pts.  It is unclear if he will miss week #12 but at least D Carr should be back to health after his own bye week.  So while the injury points have not been accumulating for Prof yet (7th in the league), that is on the verge of taking a turn for the worse which will make it very difficult for Prof to keep up at the top considering that Beaud+Old are the two healthiest teams in the PQBFL which partially explains their success.  Injuries were not the only problem for Prof this week however.  The Jets defense was toothless against the Bills and only scored 0.5 pt.  Sunday had been bad enough already for Prof, but MNF was even worse with AJ Brown scoring only 2.25 pts so Prof could not even beat FE who had a bad week themselves – even a pedestrian game by AJ Brown of 6.75 pts or more would have been enough to beat FE but Brown could not even reach this very modest target. 

The Ballers finished in the basement for the third consecutive week and are now only one rank-point ahead of Adm in the standings.  Similar to Adm, Ball was 0/3 on healthy TEs as an injury epidemic has hit the position.  Ball also had another goose egg at LB with Golden staying in the starting lineup despite toxic levels of crappiness – he ranks 40 out of 40 LBs in the PQBFL and yet the coach sends him to the starting lineup on a regular basis.  It’s not like the Ballers do not have other options, for example LB Highsmith scored 6 pts on the bench or even as flex DB Simmons was benched with 8.5 pts or DL Kenny Clark 6.5 pts.  Golden is so bad that he’s not only dead last for LBs but would also be dead last as a DL except for Chandler Jones (FE) who is mentally deranged and has not played a game this season.  If we compare to DBs, Golden would also nearly be last on that list, except for Logan Ryan (Ball) who similarly to Chandler Jones is a free agent and has not played a game, and John Johnson III (Old) who is the most sucky on defense all positions combined with an average of 0.8 pt per game so at least Golden beats one guy.  There were very few good news for Ball this week who scored a season-low 87.75 pts; the previous low was 89 pts by Wax in week 1.  Only two starters scored more than 10 pts: Chris Jones had a nice game on MNF in a futile effort of 2 sacks, and QB L Jackson easily beat his projection with 26.25 pts in a key home win against the Bengals.




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